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“The Nino index (Nino3.4) has just reached Nino-neutral, but global SST (sea surface temperature) has matched the highest level for this date, which was achieved during the last El Nino. Super warming is clear. Look for a global temperature soon of at least +1.7C, even if the “Super” El Nino turns out to be half-baked. The University of Maine…

Bad news is, that there is no next economy: so called “renewables” and batteries use the same raw materials and rely on the same processes as the old, fossil fuel economy. If anything the new, electrified economy has become even more reliant on oil than its “predecessor” ever was. No oil, no green energy either.…

Five independent fits of Earth’s natural CO₂–temperature relationship — derived from different archives, different methods, and different timescales — all land in the same tier. That relationship holds from the depths of the ice ages to warm greenhouse climates with no continental ice, across 66 million years of Earth history. The modern trajectory departs from…

3°C by 2050 Is Not a Prediction. It’s a Risk. And It’s 25 Years Away, by Peter Dynes. Dr. Klaus Richter, President of the German Physical Society, states that the world could plausibly reach 3°C of warming by 2050. It’s not the most probable outcome,” he said. “But it is a risk we cannot exclude…

So today, I invite those of you who haven’t already, to join my fierce cult of hardcore collapse realism, because at some point you have to respect yourself and stop showing compassion for a civilisation that never had compassion for itself. Capitalism, ecocide, autocracy and cannibalism are self-destructive chemical reactions that only stop when there…

Photo by Lute / Unsplash It seems like many people out there are still sniffing techno-hopium by the tank-load.  As much as I’d love for them to be right, it’s just too easy to show why they’re wrong. Or at least how they’re overrelying on unreasonable assumptions.  Today, let’s talk about carbon capture and storage.…

Abstract. Global temperature in 2025 declined 0.1°C from its El Nino-spurred maximum in 2024, making 2025 the second warmest year. The 2023-2025 mean is +1.5°C relative to 1880-1920. The 12-month running-mean temperature should decline for the next few months, reaching a minimum about +1.4°C. Later in 2026, we expect the 12-month running-mean temperature to begin…

Since our future fossil fuel supply looks increasingly limited, and since every low-carbon energy source continues to depend on cheap coal, oil and gas, there will come a day when electricity generation will also peak, then decline. Such shortfalls in production are usually managed with price increases, forcing customers to use less or simply go…